Thought Decision Making
Application of Behavior Decision Theory
Applications: Medical Diagnosis
Signal Detection Theory 
A mathematical theory of binary behavior decisions.
  • Noise
  • Signal
Birth - U of M
Binary Decision
Two-Alternatives
  • Choice: The expected value or utility theory
1. Detection
Signal Detection Theory
2. Diagnosis
  • Multisymptoms
  • Multidimensional
3. Prediction
Future events
4. Belief Update
Bayes Theorem
Assumptions
1. Both noise and signal are normally distributed
2. Both noise and signal have the same standard deviations. 
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