US stocks are at or near the lows of the year. Is it time to buy or accumulate?
Yes
Description
No
Description
News Headlines
Gold hits latest record high, near $1,830- AP
Rate on 30-year mortgage falls to lowest on record- AP
Philly Fed factory activity plummets in August- Reuters
Jobless claims rise 9,000 - Reuters
Home sales dropped 3.5 pct. in July, hit 2011 low- AP
Oil falls sharply as banks cut growth forecasts- Bloomberg
A second Great Depression, or worse?- NYTimes
S&P under investigation: The backlash begins- Breakout
Fear (VIX) Spike
Spike in volatility indices usually signals a market bottom.
Bad Technicals
SPY seems to have broken recent support levels.
Bad Seasonality
Summer is usually not good for stocks. Wait till September to buy.
Relative Value
Buying when SPY is below 200 day moving average is a good relative value.
US Debt Deal
US Debt deal may result in spending cuts and economic slow down.
Reasonable P/E Ratio
Company earnings have been reasonably good and current P/E ratios look reasonable.
Panic Selling
Indiscriminate selling usually signals a market bottom.
Negative News
News in the media is too negative and pessimistic - double dip recession, sovereign debt problems, etc. This is usually a contrary indicator.
Sea of Red
For the first time in history, all 500 stocks in S&P500 index went down!
No Panic Among Pros
Description
Fund Outflows
Domestic outflows, excluding ETFs, hit $9.4 billion last week, surpassing the $9.2 billion outflow during a week in October 2008 and the most since 2002.