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Current News/Issues
2012.02 Is it time for a market correction?
Earnings
With a PE of 14 (based on 2011 GAAP earnings of $97),
S&P500 is reasonably valued
.
P/E of 14 represents 7.14% earnings yield.
Implied Volatility
As the market moved higher, options implied volatility has moved to yearly lows.
Valuations
Description
Sentiment
Description
Dividends
S&P500 has a dividend yield of 2.07% which is not great but not too bad compared to 10 year treasury yield of 2%.
References
S&P500 Longterm chart
Expert Opinions (Contrary Indicators)
Market would rally 40% this year!
ComStock bearish case
Bull market to continue rest of the year
until S&P500 goes to 1500.
Stocks are dead
per Bill Gross
Economic Outlook
Description
Coming Fiscal Cliff
End of 2012 may lead to
fiscal cliff
in the US -- sudden reduction in government spending and increases in taxes.
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